"Pseudo-MPEC" for 2020 GL2 = BepiColombo

Created 2020 Apr 13 16:04:41 UT using Find_Orb

Click here for an explanation of pseudo-MPECs

TLEs are available for this object, and for some of the other objects on these pages. Note that the TLEs in question are in a non-standard format. (TLEs will not, in the ordinary run of things, work with a hyperbolic flyby.)

This pseudo-MPEC includes data from the discovery MPEC, plus two observations sent in by Nick James from (970) Chelsmford. Note that the MPC has 'deleted' 2020 GL2 after realizing it's not actually a rock.

The data are good enough to show that the spacecraft will indeed go by Venus on 2020 October 15, though by a much larger 'miss' distance than is actually planned. The next flyby is of Venus again on 2021 August 11; the data (at least thus far) don't constrain the orbit that far out. (And there may be a maneuver planned/required in between.)

 
 Astrometry: 
     K20G02L*KC2020 04 10.88313709 17 28.49 +02 43 20.8          15.0 GVEG096Z80
     K20G02L KC2020 04 10.88603009 17 19.51 +02 44 05.1          14.9 GVEG096Z80
     K20G02L KC2020 04 10.88892409 17 10.63 +02 44 49.2          15.0 GVEG096Z80
     K20G02L KC2020 04 10.89181809 17 01.84 +02 45 32.8          14.9 GVEG096Z80
     K20G02L KC2020 04 11.88931709 03 13.31 +04 36 21.0          16.9 GVEG096Z80
     K20G02L KC2020 04 11.89394709 03 09.34 +04 36 33.6          16.9 GVEG096Z80
     K20G02L KC2020 04 11.89857609 03 05.51 +04 36 45.1          16.7 GVEG096Z80
2018-080A     CK200411:215032   135.72968   +04.61929            16.4 RV     970
2018-080A     CK200411:215817   135.71197   +04.62304            16.6 RV     970
     K20G02L  C2020 04 12.28225309 01 23.758+05 04 52.27         17.16GVEG096F52
     K20G02L  C2020 04 12.30618409 01 02.578+05 05 25.31         17.23GVEG096F52
     K20G02L  C2020 04 12.31743809 00 53.029+05 05 39.57         17.26GVEG096F52
     K20G02L  C2020 04 13.17506 08 58 34.71 +05 18 20.7          17.9 GVEG096703
     K20G02L  C2020 04 13.18031 08 58 31.95 +05 18 24.5          17.9 GVEG096703
     K20G02L  C2020 04 13.18557 08 58 29.24 +05 18 28.0          18.2 GVEG096703
     K20G02L  C2020 04 13.22944 08 58 13.64 +05 16 33.6          17.9  rEG096718
     K20G02L  C2020 04 13.23123 08 58 12.87 +05 16 34.9          17.7  rEG096718
     K20G02L  C2020 04 13.23300 08 58 12.17 +05 16 35.2          17.6  rEG096718
     K20G02L  C2020 04 13.23478 08 58 11.44 +05 16 36.9          17.4  rEG096718
     K20G02L  C2020 04 13.23656 08 58 10.72 +05 16 37.6          17.4  rEG096718
     K20G02L  C2020 04 13.23833 08 58 10.00 +05 16 38.9          17.5  rEG096718
     K20G02L  C2020 04 13.25072 08 57 59.18 +05 19 03.9          17.9 GVEG096703
     K20G02L  C2020 04 13.25223 08 57 58.59 +05 19 04.2          17.8 GVEG096703
     K20G02L  C2020 04 13.25378 08 57 57.96 +05 19 05.1          17.8 GVEG096703
     K20G02L  C2020 04 13.25535 08 57 57.38 +05 19 05.9          17.7 GVEG096703
     K20G02L  C2020 04 13.26934 08 57 52.23 +05 19 11.2          17.8 GVEG096I52
     K20G02L  C2020 04 13.27495 08 57 50.33 +05 19 12.9                VEG096I52
     K20G02L  C2020 04 13.27510 08 57 50.23 +05 19 13.4          17.7 GVEG096I52
     K20G02L  C2020 04 13.28071 08 57 48.36 +05 19 15.5          17.8 GVEG096I52
     K20G02L KC2020 04 13.39418 08 58 03.14 +05 42 39.8          16.8 RqEG096E94
     K20G02L KC2020 04 13.40092 08 58 00.17 +05 42 40.6          16.8 RqEG096E94
     K20G02L KC2020 04 13.40555 08 57 58.30 +05 42 41.7          17.9 VqEG096E94
     K20G02L KC2020 04 13.40727 08 57 57.51 +05 42 41.5          16.8 RqEG096E94
     K20G02L KC2020 04 13.41442 08 57 54.61 +05 42 42.7          16.8 RqEG096E94
     K20G02L KC2020 04 13.41592 08 57 53.99 +05 42 42.8          17.9 VqEG096E94
     K20G02L KC2020 04 13.42096 08 57 51.93 +05 42 43.4          16.8 RqEG096E94
     K20G02L KC2020 04 13.42629 08 57 49.85 +05 42 44.0          18.0 VqEG096E94
     K20G02L KC2020 04 13.42773 08 57 49.30 +05 42 43.1          16.9 RqEG096E94
     K20G02L KC2020 04 13.43492 08 57 46.56 +05 42 44.5          16.9 RqEG096E94
     K20G02L KC2020 04 13.43666 08 57 45.90 +05 42 44.5          18.0 VqEG096E94
     K20G02L [C2020 04 13.43966 08 58 08.63 +05 41 17.3          17.9 GVEG096Q62
     K20G02L [C2020 04 13.44154 08 58 07.70 +05 41 17.9          17.9 GVEG096Q62
     K20G02L [C2020 04 13.44367 08 58 06.66 +05 41 18.3          17.8 GVEG096Q62
     K20G02L KC2020 04 13.44375 08 57 43.28 +05 42 43.8          16.9 RqEG096E94
     K20G02L KC2020 04 13.45336 08 57 40.06 +05 42 45.1          16.9 RqEG096E94

Station data:
(703) Catalina Sky Survey  (N32.417006 W110.732640)  US/Arizona.  Observers
   T. A. Pruyne, B. M. Africano, E. J. Christensen, G. A. Farneth, D. C.
   Fuls, A. R. Gibbs, A. D. Grauer, H. Gröller, J. A. Johnson, R. A.
   Kowalski, S. M. Larson, G. J. Leonard, D. Rankin, R. L. Seaman, F. C.
   Shelly. 0.68 m Schmidt + 10K CCD.
(718) Tooele  (N40.641408 W112.295800)  US/Utah.  Observer P. Wiggins. 0.35-m
   f/5.5 Schmidt-Cassegrain + CCD.
(970) Chelmsford  (N51.744716 E0.495400)  UK.  Observer N. James.
(E94) Gisborne (Possum Observatory)  (S38.629922 E177.883310)  New Zealand.
(F52) Pan-STARRS 2, Haleakala  (N20.707384 W156.255910)  US/Hawaii. 1.8-m
   Ritchey-Chrétien + CCD.
(I52) Steward Observatory, Mt. Lemmon Station  (N32.442547 W110.788920)
   US/Arizona.  Observers T. A. Pruyne, B. M. Africano, E. J. Christensen, G.
   A. Farneth, D. C. Fuls, A. R. Gibbs, A. D. Grauer, H. Gröller, J. A.
   Johnson, R. A. Kowalski, S. M. Larson, G. J. Leonard, D. Rankin, R. L.
   Seaman, F. C. Shelly. 1.0-m reflector + CCD.
(Q62) iTelescope Observatory, Siding Spring  (S31.273289 E149.064420)
   Australia/NSW. 0.50-m f/6.8 astrograph + CCD + focal reducer, 0.70-m f/6.6
   astrograph + CCD.
(Z80) Northolt Branch Observatory  (N51.554661 W0.371920)  UK.  Observer G.
   Wells. Measurer D. Bamberger. 0.25-m f/8 Ritchey-Chrétien + CCD.

Orbital elements:  2020 GL2 = BepiColombo (Earth flyby) 
   Perigee 2020 Apr 10.184773 +/- 5.9e-5 TT =  4:26:04 (JD 2458949.684773)
Epoch 2020 Apr 10.2 TT = JDT 2458949.7                        Find_Orb
q 19059.341969 +/- 6.75             (J2000 equator)
H   26.2  G 0.15                    Peri.  252.9452675 +/- 0.018
                                    Node   149.5276990 +/- 0.008
e   1.758513890 +/- 0.000469        Incl.  159.5060123 +/- 0.00047
From 45 observations 2020 Apr. 10-13; mean residual 0".362

Orbital elements:  2020 GL2 = BepiColombo (heliocentric) 
   Perihelion 2020 Sep 9.712546 +/- 0.00486 TT = 17:06:04 (JD 2459102.212546)
Epoch 2020 Apr 30.0 TT = JDT 2458969.5   Earth MOID: 0.0001   Ve: 0.0003
M 183.4152247385 +/- 0.00055        (J2000 ecliptic)          Find_Orb
n   1.3305808704 +/- 4.46e-5        Peri.   14.9109162 +/- 0.0006
a   0.8186693521 +/- 1.83e-5        Node    20.2315737 +/- 0.00006
e   0.236766687 +/- 2.87e-5         Incl.    1.6795613 +/- 0.00025
P   0.74/270.55d           H 26.2   G  0.15   U  6.0
q 0.6248357212 +/- 3.74e-5    Q 1.0125029829 +/- 8.41e-7
From 45 observations 2020 Apr. 10-13; mean residual 0".362

Orbital elements:  2020 GL2 = BepiColombo (Venus flyby) 
   Perivenus 2020 Oct 15.214994 +/- 0.00462 TT =  5:09:35 (JD 2459137.714994)
Epoch 2020 Oct 15.0 TT = JDT 2459137.5                        Find_Orb
q136306.10276 +/- 23922             (J2000 ecliptic)
H   26.2  G 0.15                    Peri.  200.4598120 +/- 8
                                    Node    44.2711354 +/- 7
e  27.317195411 +/- 4.59            Incl.  168.3484224 +/- 0.8
From 45 observations 2020 Apr. 10-13; mean residual 0".362
Residuals in arcseconds: 
200410 Z80 .195+ .211+    200413 718 .117+ .322+    200413 E94 .938- .355-
200410 Z80 .038+ .088+    200413 718 .284- .545+    200413 E94 .455+ .158+
200410 Z80 .084+ .142+    200413 718 .153+ .211-    200413 E94 .569- .243-
200410 Z80 .132+ .086+    200413 718 .122+ .436+    200413 E94 .196+ .212+
200411 Z80 .187+ .040-    200413 718 .156+ .093+    200413 E94 .034+ .174+
200411 Z80 .199- .328+    200413 718 .045+ .364+    200413 E94 .555- .358+
200411 Z80 .715+ .260-    200413 703 .075- .257+    200413 E94 .381- .593+
200411 970 .130- .097-    200413 703 .040+ .116-    200413 E94 .277- .393-
200411 970 .025- .066-    200413 703 .283- .100+    200413 E94 .460- .661+
200412 F52 .052- .034+    200413 703 .177+ .213+    200413 E94 .661- .597+
200412 F52 1.9m+ .060+    200413 I52 .125+ .074+    200413 Q62 .027+ .340-
200412 F52 .035+ .064+    200413 I52 1.00+ .438-    200413 Q62 .025- .244-
200413 703 .195+ .030+    200413 I52 .277+ 3.9m+    200413 Q62 .059+ .399-
200413 703 .219+ .191+    200413 I52 .458+ .036-    200413 E94 1.29- .287-
200413 703 .526+ .151+    200413 E94 .068- .185-    200413 E94 .591+ .952+

Ephemerides (geocentric):
Date (UTC)   RA              Dec         delta   r     elong  mag " sig PA
---- -----  --------------  -----------  -----  ------ -----  --- --------
2020 04 10  23 52 01.775   +10 06 32.91   87035 1.0013  20.6 20??  100  74
2020 04 11  09 15 03.503   +03 59 43.54  327995 1.0032 118.0 15.1 .460  13
2020 04 12  09 03 07.605   +05 04 44.73  688392 1.0043 113.9 16.9 .160  26
2020 04 13  08 59 21.411   +05 25 13.05  .00697 1.0053 112.0 17.8 .089  63
2020 04 14  08 57 30.983   +05 35 20.77  .00931 1.0063 110.5 18.5 .080  96
2020 04 15  08 56 27.146   +05 41 22.89  .01165 1.0072 109.3 19.0 .085 115
2020 04 16  08 55 47.306   +05 45 20.79  .01397 1.0080 108.2 19.4 .090 126
2020 04 17  08 55 21.819   +05 48 05.75  .01630 1.0088 107.1 19.8 .095 133
2020 04 18  08 55 05.826   +05 50 03.18  .01861 1.0094 106.1 20.1 .099 137
2020 04 19  08 54 56.584   +05 51 27.16  .02092 1.0101 105.1 20.4 .102 140
2020 04 20  08 54 52.396   +05 52 26.15  .02323 1.0106 104.1 20.7 .105 142
2020 04 21  08 54 52.136   +05 53 05.58  .02553 1.0111 103.1 20.9 .109 143
2020 04 22  08 54 55.006   +05 53 29.14  .02782 1.0115 102.2 21.1 .112 143
2020 04 23  08 55 00.408   +05 53 39.47  .03011 1.0118 101.2 21.3 .115 143
2020 04 24  08 55 07.873   +05 53 38.55  .03239 1.0121 100.3 21.5 .119 142
2020 04 25  08 55 17.010   +05 53 27.97  .03465 1.0123  99.4 21.7 .123 142
2020 04 26  08 55 27.487   +05 53 09.04  .03691 1.0124  98.5 21.8 .127 141
2020 04 27  08 55 39.006   +05 52 42.92  .03916 1.0125  97.6 22.0 .132 140
2020 04 28  08 55 51.298   +05 52 10.66  .04140 1.0125  96.7 22.1 .136 139
2020 04 29  08 56 04.113   +05 51 33.28  .04362 1.0124  95.8 22.3 .141 138
2020 04 30  08 56 17.216   +05 50 51.76  .04583 1.0123  94.9 22.4 .145 138
2020 05 01  08 56 30.385   +05 50 07.09  .04802 1.0121  94.0 22.6 .149 137
2020 05 02  08 56 43.409   +05 49 20.27  .05020 1.0118  93.1 22.7 .153 137
2020 05 03  08 56 56.091   +05 48 32.34  .05236 1.0114  92.2 22.8 .156 137
2020 05 04  08 57 08.252   +05 47 44.34  .05451 1.0110  91.3 22.9 .158 137
2020 05 05  08 57 19.732   +05 46 57.31  .05664 1.0105  90.4 23.0 .159 138
2020 05 06  08 57 30.399   +05 46 12.28  .05875 1.0100  89.5 23.1 .159 138
2020 05 07  08 57 40.151   +05 45 30.17  .06084 1.0094  88.6 23.2 .159 139
2020 05 08  08 57 48.914   +05 44 51.81  .06292 1.0087  87.7 23.3 .157 140
2020 05 09  08 57 56.642   +05 44 17.91  .06497 1.0079  86.8 23.4 .154 142
2020 05 10  08 58 03.306   +05 43 49.02  .06701 1.0071  85.8 23.5 .151 143
2020 05 11  08 58 08.889   +05 43 25.60  .06903 1.0062  84.9 23.6 .147 145
2020 05 12  08 58 13.371   +05 43 07.98  .07104 1.0053  84.0 23.7 .142 147
2020 05 13  08 58 16.731   +05 42 56.48  .07302 1.0042  83.0 23.8 .137 149
2020 05 14  08 58 18.935   +05 42 51.37  .07498 1.0031  82.1 23.9 .132 152
2020 05 15  08 58 19.940   +05 42 52.95  .07693 1.0020  81.2 24.0 .127 155
2020 05 16  08 58 19.693   +05 43 01.50  .07885 1.0008  80.2 24.1 .121 158
2020 05 17  08 58 18.127   +05 43 17.36  .08076 0.9995  79.3 24.2 .116 161
2020 05 18  08 58 15.170   +05 43 40.88  .08264 0.9981  78.3 24.3 .111 165
2020 05 19  08 58 10.736   +05 44 12.46  .08450 0.9967  77.3 24.4 .107 169
2020 05 20  08 58 04.733   +05 44 52.53  .08634 0.9952  76.4 24.4 .103 173
2020 05 21  08 57 57.061   +05 45 41.55  .08816 0.9936  75.4 24.5 .099 177
2020 05 22  08 57 47.609   +05 46 40.04  .08995 0.9920  74.4 24.6 .096   2
2020 05 23  08 57 36.259   +05 47 48.56  .09172 0.9903  73.4 24.7 .094   7
2020 05 24  08 57 22.884   +05 49 07.74  .09347 .98852  72.4 24.8 .093  13
2020 05 25  08 57 07.348   +05 50 38.24  .09520 .98669  71.4 24.9 .092  18
2020 05 26  08 56 49.509   +05 52 20.80  .09690 .98480  70.4 24.9 .092  24
2020 05 27  08 56 29.217   +05 54 16.23  .09858 .98284  69.4 25.0 .093  29
2020 05 28  08 56 06.318   +05 56 25.40  .10024 .98082  68.3 25.1 .095  35
2020 05 29  08 55 40.658   +05 58 49.24  .10188 .97873  67.3 25.2 .099  40
2020 05 30  08 55 12.082   +06 01 28.72  .10350 .97657  66.2 25.3 .103  45
2020 05 31  08 54 40.439   +06 04 24.89  .10509 .97436  65.1 25.4 .108  50
2020 06 01  08 54 05.586   +06 07 38.79  .10667 .97207  64.0 25.5 .114  55
2020 06 02  08 53 27.393   +06 11 11.50  .10823 .96973  62.9 25.6 .122  59
2020 06 03  08 52 45.743   +06 15 04.07  .10977 .96731  61.8 25.7 .130  63
2020 06 04  08 52 00.539   +06 19 17.52  .11130 .96484  60.7 25.7 .139  66
2020 06 05  08 51 11.704   +06 23 52.80  .11282 .96230  59.5 25.8 .148  69
2020 06 06  08 50 19.179   +06 28 50.77  .11432 .95970  58.3 25.9 .158  72
2020 06 07  08 49 22.923   +06 34 12.20  .11582 .95704  57.2 26.1 .168  74
2020 06 08  08 48 22.909   +06 39 57.78  .11731 .95432  56.0 26.2 .178  76