"Pseudo-MPEC" for Perseverance
Created 2020 Jul 31 0:44:40 UT using Find_Orb
Click here for an explanation of pseudo-MPECs
According to the data thus far, this object is going to Mars. We also have data for the booster for this spacecraft, which will probably miss Mars; we should have enough data soon to say by how much. (Neither MPEC will be updated until Sunday or Monday; I'll be out of the office and out of Internet range.)
Astrometry:
Persev C2020 07 30.88103 00 14 52.14 +20 03 08.4 16.3 Vq XXX
Perseverance C2020 07 30.88168 00 15 08.24 +20 11 23.0 15.0 GV C47
Perseverance C2020 07 30.88399 00 15 13.98 +20 12 59.1 14.6 GV C47
Persev C2020 07 30.88514 00 15 03.91 +20 06 02.5 16.4 Vq XXX
Perseverance C2020 07 30.88606 00 15 19.03 +20 14 25.1 15.0 GV C47
Perseverance C2020 07 30.88805 00 15 23.79 +20 15 46.4 14.4 GV C47
Perseverance C2020 07 30.89004 00 15 28.42 +20 17 07.2 14.5 GV C47
Perseverance C2020 07 30.89203 00 15 32.95 +20 18 26.5 14.8 GV C47
Mars2020 CK200730:22261062 004.25773 +20.53650 15.0 GV J95
Mars2020 CK200730:22271937 004.26418 +20.54413 14.9 GV J95
Mars2020 CK200730:22283005 004.27076 +20.55170 14.9 GV J95
Mars2020 CK200730:22295762 004.27879 +20.56109 15.0 GV J95
Mars20 C2020 07 30.93825200 17 47.46 +20 49 03.2 15.2 G C95
Mars20 C2020 07 30.93982600 17 49.72 +20 49 55.4 15.1 G C95
Mars20 C2020 07 30.94138900 17 51.93 +20 50 45.1 15.1 G C95
Mars20 C2020 07 30.94295100 17 54.08 +20 51 35.8 15.0 G C95
Perseve C2020 07 30.94348 00 17 41.40 +20 54 19.3 15.5 GV 104
Perseve C2020 07 30.94446 00 17 42.37 +20 54 46.7 15.8 GV 104
Mars20 C2020 07 30.94450200 17 56.14 +20 52 24.9 15.3 G C95
Perseve C2020 07 30.94478 00 17 42.86 +20 54 57.4 14.8 GV 104
Perseve C2020 07 30.94509 00 17 43.22 +20 55 07.4 14.6 GV 104
Mars20 C2020 07 30.94604200 17 58.28 +20 53 14.9 15.1 G C95
Mars20 C2020 07 30.94761600 18 00.30 +20 54 04.2 15.1 G C95
Mars20 C2020 07 30.94916700 18 02.29 +20 54 52.8 15.2 G C95
Persever C2020 07 30.94994 00 17 54.13 +21 03 07.8 14.7 R 470
Persever C2020 07 30.95058 00 17 54.69 +21 03 25.0 14.4 R 470
Mars20 C2020 07 30.95074100 18 04.22 +20 55 40.9 15.0 G C95
Persever C2020 07 30.95117 00 17 55.23 +21 03 43.1 15.1 R 470
Mars20 C2020 07 30.95230300 18 06.07 +20 56 28.7 15.1 G C95
2020-052A CK200730:225451 004.38255 +20.72370 15.0 GV 970
2020-052A CK200730:225809 004.39684 +20.74318 15.1 GV 970
2020-052A CK200730:230054 004.40847 +20.75921 15.1 GV 970
Perseve KC2020 07 30.96100 00 17 59.52 +21 03 02.8 15.6 GV 104
Perseve KC2020 07 30.96422 00 18 02.33 +21 04 33.9 14.7 GV 104
Perseve KC2020 07 30.96744 00 18 04.98 +21 06 03.5 15.0 GV 104
Perseve KC2020 07 30.97065 00 18 07.49 +21 07 32.2 15.1 GV 104
Perseve KC2020 07 30.97386 00 18 09.84 +21 08 59.2 15.1 GV 104
Perseve KC2020 07 30.97708 00 18 12.02 +21 10 24.1 15.0 GV 104
Perseve KC2020 07 30.98029 00 18 14.05 +21 11 47.8 14.9 GV 104
Perseve KC2020 07 30.98350 00 18 16.01 +21 13 10.1 15.1 GV 104
2020-052A CK200730:233902 004.54492 +20.96758 15.0 GV 970
2020-052A CK200730:233951 004.54732 +20.97171 15.2 GV 970
Perseve KC2020 07 30.98671 00 18 17.80 +21 14 31.4 15.5 GV 104
Perseve KC2020 07 30.99314 00 18 20.97 +21 17 09.1 14.9 GV 104
Perseve KC2020 07 30.99957 00 18 23.74 +21 19 41.5 15.1 GV 104
Perseve KC2020 07 31.00279 00 18 24.86 +21 20 55.0 15.3 GV 104
Perseve KC2020 07 31.00600 00 18 25.99 +21 22 08.0 15.3 GV 104
Perseve KC2020 07 31.00921 00 18 26.97 +21 23 19.7 15.4 GV 104
Station data:
(104) San Marcello Pistoiese (N44.063037 E10.804200) Italy. Observers P.
Bacci, M. Maestripieri, G. Fagioli. Measurers P. Bacci, L. Tesi, G.
Fagioli. 0.25-m F.6.3 Reflector + CCD.
(470) Ceccano (N41.570282 E13.327560) Italy. 0.28-m Schmidt-Cassegrain.
(970) Chelmsford (N51.744716 E0.495400) UK. Observer N. James.
(C47) Nonndorf (N48.786797 E15.235600) Austria. Observer G. Dangl. 0.25-m
f/4.8 reflector + CCD.
(C95) SATINO Remote Observatory, Haute Provence (N43.932042 E5.712390)
France. Observer J. Jahn. 0.60-m f/3.2 Newtonian reflector + CCD.
(J95) Great Shefford (N51.474969 W1.447003) UK. Observer P. Birtwhistle.
(XXX) Herkenrath (N50.993306 E7.183806) Germany. Observer B. Klemt. 0.3 m
RC f/8 with focal reducer @ f/5.6 + CCD.
Orbital elements: Perseverance (geocentric, departure)
Perigee 2020 Jul 30.5276749 +/- 0.000268 TT = 12:39:51.11 (JD 2459061.0276749)
Epoch 2020 Jul 31.0 TT = JDT 2459061.5 Find_Orb
q 6594.5970739 +/- 3.04 (J2000 equator)
H 27.7 G 0.15 Peri. 276.0850433 +/- 0.06
Node 312.4103499 +/- 0.041
e 1.238676217 +/- 0.000505 Incl. 27.5889631 +/- 0.0057
From 48 observations 2020 July 30-31 (3.1 hr); mean residual 0".540
Orbital elements: Perseverance (Mars arrival)
Perimars 2021 Feb 20.0729493 +/- 0.724 TT = 1:45:02.82 (JD 2459265.5729493)
Epoch 2021 Feb 20.0 TT = JDT 2459265.5 Find_Orb
q162475.95486 +/- 100632 (J2000 ecliptic)
H 27.7 G 0.15 Peri. 240.9637906 +/- 0.25
Node 37.0052627 +/- 2.9
e 25.252750348 +/- 14.8 Incl. 62.0847755 +/- 3.8
From 48 observations 2020 July 30-31 (3.1 hr); mean residual 0".540
Residuals in arcseconds: 200730 XXX .548+ .554- 200730 104 1.92+ 2.66+ 200730 104 .213- .485+ 200730 C47 .153+ .171- 200730 104 .765- .597- 200730 104 .241- .031+ 200730 C47 .038- .576- 200730 C95 .907- .141- 200730 104 .289- .391- 200730 XXX 1.19+ .076- 200730 104 .836+ .125+ 200730 104 .033- .076+ 200730 C47 .136+ .119- 200730 104 .806+ .474+ 200730 104 .069+ .337+ 200730 C47 .429+ .231- 200730 C95 .441+ 0.99+ 200730 104 .275- .288- 200730 C47 .301+ .042- 200730 C95 .124+ .724+ 200730 104 .651- .380- 200730 C47 .156+ .561- 200730 C95 .438+ .846+ 200730 104 .097- .422- 200730 J95 .085- .222- 200730 470 .197+ 1.43+ 200730 970 .107+ .428- 200730 J95 .098- .379+ 200730 470 .262- .485- 200730 970 .039- .624- 200730 J95 .094- .109+ 200730 C95 .138+ .120+ 200730 104 .069- .026- 200730 J95 .238- .047- 200730 470 .269- .053+ 200730 104 .482- .120- 200730 C95 .281+ .222+ 200730 C95 .448- .165- 200730 104 .267+ .091+ 200730 C95 .008+ .964+ 200730 970 .339+ .183+ 200731 104 .690- .548- 200730 C95 .063- .053- 200730 970 .183+ .245+ 200731 104 .067+ .097- 200730 C95 .288- .340+ 200730 970 .090+ .128+ 200731 104 .196+ .400+ Ephemerides (geocentric): Date (UTC) HH RA Dec delta r elong mag " sig PA ---- -------- -------------- ----------- ----- ------ ----- --- -------- 2020 07 30 16 23 39 58.078 +19 28 22.42 72158 1.0154 121.9 13.2 35.7 80 2020 07 30 17 23 49 45.880 +20 17 23.51 89573 1.0154 119.6 13.7 17.7 85 2020 07 30 18 23 56 28.055 +20 49 28.32 106441 1.0155 118.1 14.2 9.15 91 2020 07 30 19 00 01 23.006 +21 12 14.33 122913 1.0155 117.0 14.5 4.74 98 2020 07 30 20 00 05 09.795 +21 29 18.24 139081 1.0155 116.1 14.8 2.36 107 2020 07 30 21 00 08 10.276 +21 42 36.58 155009 1.0155 115.4 15.1 1.03 118 2020 07 30 22 00 10 37.716 +21 53 17.88 170741 1.0156 114.9 15.3 .284 136 2020 07 30 23 00 12 40.677 +22 02 05.20 186311 1.0156 114.5 15.5 .175 132 2020 07 31 00 00 14 24.951 +22 09 27.01 201744 1.0156 114.1 15.7 .499 154 2020 07 31 01 00 15 54.609 +22 15 42.94 217058 1.0157 113.8 15.8 .790 168 2020 07 31 02 00 17 12.601 +22 21 06.98 232270 1.0157 113.5 16.0 1.09 0 2020 07 31 03 00 18 21.120 +22 25 49.37 247392 1.0157 113.3 16.1 1.40 9 2020 07 31 04 00 19 21.836 +22 29 57.80 262434 1.0158 113.1 16.3 1.73 16 2020 07 31 05 00 20 16.041 +22 33 38.15 277406 1.0158 112.9 16.4 2.07 21 2020 07 31 06 00 21 04.754 +22 36 55.02 292314 1.0158 112.8 16.5 2.41 26 2020 07 31 07 00 21 48.787 +22 39 52.03 307164 1.0158 112.7 16.6 2.75 29 2020 07 31 08 00 22 28.799 +22 42 32.09 321961 1.0159 112.5 16.7 3.09 32 2020 07 31 09 00 23 05.329 +22 44 57.56 336712 1.0159 112.4 16.8 3.42 34 2020 07 31 10 00 23 38.822 +22 47 10.39 351418 1.0159 112.4 16.9 3.75 36 2020 07 31 11 00 24 09.648 +22 49 12.18 366084 1.0160 112.3 17.0 4.06 38 2020 07 31 12 00 24 38.122 +22 51 04.27 380713 1.0160 112.2 17.1 4.37 39 2020 07 31 13 00 25 04.507 +22 52 47.79 395308 1.0160 112.1 17.2 4.66 41 2020 07 31 14 00 25 29.031 +22 54 23.70 409871 1.0160 112.1 17.3 4.95 42 2020 07 31 15 00 25 51.886 +22 55 52.83 424404 1.0161 112.0 17.4 5.22 43 2020 07 31 16 00 26 13.241 +22 57 15.88 438909 1.0161 112.0 17.4 5.49 44 2020 07 31 17 00 26 33.242 +22 58 33.45 453388 1.0161 111.9 17.5 5.74 44 2020 07 31 18 00 26 52.016 +22 59 46.08 467842 1.0162 111.9 17.6 5.99 45 2020 07 31 19 00 27 09.674 +23 00 54.24 482274 1.0162 111.9 17.6 6.22 46 2020 07 31 20 00 27 26.315 +23 01 58.32 496683 1.0162 111.9 17.7 6.45 46 2020 07 31 21 00 27 42.026 +23 02 58.69 511073 1.0162 111.8 17.8 6.67 47 2020 07 31 22 00 27 56.883 +23 03 55.67 525443 1.0163 111.8 17.8 6.89 47 2020 07 31 23 00 28 10.956 +23 04 49.53 539794 1.0163 111.8 17.9 7.09 48 2020 08 01 00 00 28 24.307 +23 05 40.52 554129 1.0163 111.8 17.9 7.29 48 2020 08 01 01 00 28 36.990 +23 06 28.88 568446 1.0164 111.8 18.0 7.48 49 2020 08 01 02 00 28 49.054 +23 07 14.80 582748 1.0164 111.8 18.1 7.66 49 2020 08 01 03 00 29 00.546 +23 07 58.46 597035 1.0164 111.8 18.1 7.84 49 2020 08 01 04 00 29 11.505 +23 08 40.03 611307 1.0165 111.8 18.2 8.02 50 2020 08 01 05 00 29 21.968 +23 09 19.65 625566 1.0165 111.8 18.2 8.18 50 2020 08 01 06 00 29 31.968 +23 09 57.46 639812 1.0165 111.8 18.3 8.34 50 2020 08 01 07 00 29 41.536 +23 10 33.58 654045 1.0165 111.8 18.3 8.50 51 2020 08 01 08 00 29 50.699 +23 11 08.12 668266 1.0166 111.8 18.3 8.65 51 2020 08 01 09 00 29 59.483 +23 11 41.19 682475 1.0166 111.8 18.4 8.80 51 2020 08 01 10 00 30 07.912 +23 12 12.87 696674 1.0166 111.8 18.4 8.94 51 2020 08 01 11 00 30 16.006 +23 12 43.25 710862 1.0167 111.8 18.5 9.08 51 2020 08 01 12 00 30 23.785 +23 13 12.40 725039 1.0167 111.8 18.5 9.21 52 2020 08 01 13 00 30 31.268 +23 13 40.41 739207 1.0167 111.8 18.6 9.34 52 2020 08 01 14 00 30 38.471 +23 14 07.34 753365 1.0168 111.8 18.6 9.47 52 2020 08 01 15 00 30 45.410 +23 14 33.24 767514 1.0168 111.8 18.6 9.59 52 2020 08 01 16 00 30 52.099 +23 14 58.18 781654 1.0168 111.8 18.7 9.71 52 2020 08 01 17 00 30 58.551 +23 15 22.20 795785 1.0169 111.8 18.7 9.82 53 2020 08 01 18 00 31 04.779 +23 15 45.36 809908 1.0169 111.9 18.8 9.93 53 2020 08 01 19 00 31 10.795 +23 16 07.70 824024 1.0169 111.9 18.8 10.0 53 2020 08 01 20 00 31 16.608 +23 16 29.26 838131 1.0169 111.9 18.8 10.1 53 2020 08 01 21 00 31 22.229 +23 16 50.09 852231 1.0170 111.9 18.9 10.3 53 2020 08 01 22 00 31 27.668 +23 17 10.21 866323 1.0170 111.9 18.9 10.4 53 2020 08 01 23 00 31 32.933 +23 17 29.66 880409 1.0170 111.9 18.9 10.5 53 2020 08 02 00 00 31 38.032 +23 17 48.48 894487 1.0171 112.0 19.0 10.5 53 2020 08 02 01 00 31 42.972 +23 18 06.69 908559 1.0171 112.0 19.0 10.6 54 2020 08 02 02 00 31 47.762 +23 18 24.32 922625 1.0171 112.0 19.0 10.7 54 2020 08 02 03 00 31 52.408 +23 18 41.40 936684 1.0172 112.0 19.1 10.8 54 2020 08 02 04 00 31 56.916 +23 18 57.95 950737 1.0172 112.0 19.1 10.9 54 2020 08 02 05 00 32 01.292 +23 19 14.00 964784 1.0172 112.1 19.1 11.0 54 2020 08 02 06 00 32 05.541 +23 19 29.56 978825 1.0173 112.1 19.2 11.1 54 2020 08 02 07 00 32 09.670 +23 19 44.66 992860 1.0173 112.1 19.2 11.2 54 2020 08 02 08 00 32 13.682 +23 19 59.32 .00673 1.0173 112.1 19.2 11.2 54 2020 08 02 09 00 32 17.584 +23 20 13.55 .00682 1.0174 112.1 19.3 11.3 54 2020 08 02 10 00 32 21.378 +23 20 27.37 .00692 1.0174 112.2 19.3 11.4 54 2020 08 02 11 00 32 25.070 +23 20 40.81 .00701 1.0174 112.2 19.3 11.5 54 2020 08 02 12 00 32 28.663 +23 20 53.86 .00711 1.0175 112.2 19.3 11.5 55 2020 08 02 13 00 32 32.161 +23 21 06.55 .00720 1.0175 112.2 19.4 11.6 55 2020 08 02 14 00 32 35.568 +23 21 18.90 .00729 1.0175 112.3 19.4 11.7 55 2020 08 02 15 00 32 38.887 +23 21 30.90 .00739 1.0176 112.3 19.4 11.7 55 2020 08 02 16 00 32 42.121 +23 21 42.59 .00748 1.0176 112.3 19.4 11.8 55 2020 08 02 17 00 32 45.274 +23 21 53.96 .00757 1.0176 112.3 19.5 11.9 55 2020 08 02 18 00 32 48.348 +23 22 05.03 .00767 1.0177 112.4 19.5 11.9 55 2020 08 02 19 00 32 51.345 +23 22 15.81 .00776 1.0177 112.4 19.5 12.0 55 2020 08 02 20 00 32 54.270 +23 22 26.31 .00785 1.0177 112.4 19.6 12.1 55 2020 08 02 21 00 32 57.123 +23 22 36.54 .00795 1.0178 112.4 19.6 12.1 55 2020 08 02 22 00 32 59.909 +23 22 46.51 .00804 1.0178 112.5 19.6 12.2 55 2020 08 02 23 00 33 02.627 +23 22 56.23 .00813 1.0178 112.5 19.6 12.2 55 2020 08 03 00 00 33 05.282 +23 23 05.70 .00823 1.0179 112.5 19.6 12.3 55 2020 08 03 01 00 33 07.875 +23 23 14.93 .00832 1.0179 112.5 19.7 12.3 55 2020 08 03 02 00 33 10.408 +23 23 23.94 .00841 1.0179 112.6 19.7 12.4 55 2020 08 03 03 00 33 12.883 +23 23 32.72 .00851 1.0180 112.6 19.7 12.5 55 2020 08 03 04 00 33 15.302 +23 23 41.29 .00860 1.0180 112.6 19.7 12.5 56 2020 08 03 05 00 33 17.665 +23 23 49.64 .00869 1.0180 112.7 19.8 12.6 56 2020 08 03 06 00 33 19.977 +23 23 57.80 .00879 1.0181 112.7 19.8 12.6 56 2020 08 03 07 00 33 22.236 +23 24 05.75 .00888 1.0181 112.7 19.8 12.7 56 2020 08 03 08 00 33 24.446 +23 24 13.52 .00897 1.0181 112.7 19.8 12.7 56 2020 08 03 09 00 33 26.607 +23 24 21.10 .00907 1.0182 112.8 19.8 12.8 56 2020 08 03 10 00 33 28.722 +23 24 28.50 .00916 1.0182 112.8 19.9 12.8 56 2020 08 03 11 00 33 30.791 +23 24 35.72 .00925 1.0183 112.8 19.9 12.9 56 2020 08 03 12 00 33 32.815 +23 24 42.77 .00934 1.0183 112.9 19.9 12.9 56 2020 08 03 13 00 33 34.796 +23 24 49.66 .00944 1.0183 112.9 19.9 12.9 56 2020 08 03 14 00 33 36.736 +23 24 56.38 .00953 1.0184 112.9 20.0 13.0 56 2020 08 03 15 00 33 38.634 +23 25 02.95 .00962 1.0184 113.0 20.0 13.0 56 2020 08 03 16 00 33 40.493 +23 25 09.36 .00972 1.0184 113.0 20.0 13.1 56 2020 08 03 17 00 33 42.313 +23 25 15.62 .00981 1.0185 113.0 20.0 13.1 56 2020 08 03 18 00 33 44.095 +23 25 21.74 .00990 1.0185 113.1 20.0 13.2 56 2020 08 03 19 00 33 45.841 +23 25 27.71 .00999 1.0185 113.1 20.1 13.2 56